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MarketBiasTracker

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Operated by Navara Digital Technologies W.L.L., Bahrain

For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.

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Bias Guide

How MarketBiasTracker Works

MarketBiasTracker turns market structure into readable directional context. Crypto, gold, silver, and the S&P 500 use candle-based timeframe models. US stocks and ETFs use a price-parameter model built from price, researched levels, moving averages, RSI, and parameter freshness.

1. How To Read This

Example

AAPL

Overall
7.3/10 (Bullish)
Short Term
Bullish
Structural
Bullish
Overall
Bullish

Overall: 7.3/10 (Bullish) means upside structure is currently stronger than downside structure.

Short Term bullish + Structural bullish means the stock is aligned in the current price-parameter model.

When the model layers point in the same direction, the reading usually has stronger conviction. When they conflict, the overall read should be treated more cautiously.

2. Score system

0

Strongly bearish conditions.

Trend and momentum are leaning clearly to the downside.

5

Neutral conditions.

The market has no clear directional edge.

10

Strongly bullish conditions.

Trend and momentum are leaning clearly to the upside.

Important: bearish scores are displayed differently for clarity

Internally, the system works on a scale where lower values are bearish and higher values are bullish.

To make bearish strength easier to read, a bearish score can be shown in inverted display form.

Raw score: 2.3

Displayed as: 7.7/10 (Bearish)

3. Core indicators

RSI (Relative Strength Index)

Measures momentum and speed of recent price movement.

Higher RSI can suggest a strong move or a stretched market. Lower RSI can suggest weakness or oversold conditions.

Example: RSI 72 may mean the move is strong, but also getting extended.

EMA Stack

Shows trend structure across short, medium, and long term.

EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200 usually signals bullish structure.

The opposite arrangement usually signals bearish structure.

Example: 20↓ 50↓ 200↓ suggests a bearish trend structure.

ATR (Average True Range)

Measures volatility rather than direction.

High ATR means faster and wider price movement.

Low ATR means calmer or slower conditions.

Volume

Helps measure the strength behind a move.

High volume can support conviction.

Low volume can make a move less reliable.

4. Advanced Indicators

Exhaustion Risk

Estimates whether a move may be running too far too fast.

High exhaustion does not guarantee reversal, but it can warn that the current move is becoming stretched.

Bounce Probability

Estimates the chance of a temporary reaction or rebound from a stretched condition.

Useful when price is pressing into support, resistance, or overextended conditions.

Liquidity Sweep

Detects moves through key levels that may represent stop hunting, rejection, or breakout acceptance.

This can help distinguish between a true continuation and a fake move.

Divergence

Looks for disagreement between price action and momentum.

Example: price makes a new low while RSI does not. This can hint that downside momentum is weakening.

Trend Friction

Shows conflict between short-term movement and the broader trend structure.

When friction is high, the market may be less clean and less decisive.

Advanced candle signals are shown where the payload supports them. For US stocks and ETFs, unsupported advanced rows stay hidden instead of displaying empty divergence, sweep, or exhaustion fields.

5. Timeframes and Price Parameters

1H

Candle-based short-term pressure for crypto, gold, silver, and supported index reads.

Useful for quick changes in market tone.

4H

Candle-based swing structure and medium-term direction.

Often more stable than 1H while still responsive.

1D

Candle-based broader market direction.

Helps define the larger trend environment.

Short Term

US stock and ETF read based on current price versus EMA20, support, resistance, and stretch.

Structural

US stock and ETF read based on price versus EMA50/EMA200, EMA stack, RSI, and trend metadata.

A stronger reading usually appears when the relevant model layers point in the same direction. A weaker or riskier environment appears when they are mixed, stale, or unavailable.

6. Alignment and conviction

Strong alignment

Multiple timeframes point in the same direction.

This usually means stronger conviction.

Mixed alignment

Timeframes disagree with each other.

This usually means caution and lower clarity.

Neutral structure

No strong directional edge is present.

This usually means patience is better than forcing a trade.

7. How Traders Can Benefit From This Data

Strong bullish conditions

Traders may look for long setups, continuation patterns, or pullback entries in the direction of strength.

Strong bearish conditions

Traders may look for short setups, breakdowns, or rallies into weakness.

Mixed or neutral conditions

Traders may reduce risk, stay selective, or wait for clearer structure before acting.

Important note

MarketBiasTracker is a decision-support system. It is designed to help users read structure, momentum, and market context more clearly. It is not a guarantee of future price movement.